Monday’s 1°Outside Insights: What’s Set…and What May Change in The July 4th Forecast

Matt and Danielle designed our Insights videos to provide context to the numbers you see in the forecast on our app – to add understanding and perspective to a digital solution that has often been purely data.  When we understand what may change in the forecast and why, we’re all better prepared.  Today’s explanation of the Fourth of July forecast provides that understanding.  If you’re just looking for a quick overview, here’s what to expect as we head into the week and the 4th of July celebrations:

Tuesday: Perfect Summer Day, Great for Fireworks

  • Conditions: High pressure brings beautiful weather, with lots of sunshine and low humidity.
  • Temperatures: Highs will be in the 70s, with lows around 60°F.
  • Fireworks: Ideal weather for evening fireworks with clear skies and pleasant conditions.

Wednesday: Increasing Clouds and Humidity, Great for Fireworks

  • Morning: Highs in the middle 80s with a mix of sunshine and increasing clouds.
  • Humidity: Slowly rising throughout the day.
  • Evening: Slight chance of showers near the Canadian border, but most areas remain dry.

Thursday (4th of July): Warm, Humid, Chance Thunder

  • Morning: A few isolated showers possible as humidity continues to increase.
  • Afternoon: Highs between 85 to 90°F with rising humidity.  Scattered showers or thunder may develop in spots.
  • Evening: Increasing chance of scattered showers and thunderstorms due to a trough and wind shift. Although initial guidance shows a 10-20% chance, this very well may rise as we get closer.
  • Night: We’re threading the needle if scattered thunder develop during the afternoon and evening, because they should lull…but a new disturbance is predicted to bring renewed showers by Friday morning – this far out, a matter of 6 hours in a forecast isn’t a lot, so we’ll keep an eye on this. Low temperatures between 65 to 70°F, with some lingering humidity.

Friday: Some Showers Around

  • Morning: Showers likely spreading in from the southwest.  Continued humid, especially in Central & Southern New England
  • Afternoon: Highs may squeeze to around or over 80, depending on the amount of showers.