After a few weeks of nearly constant heat and humidity, the pattern is changing for New England! Matt Noyes explains how the jet stream – the fast river of air, high in the sky, is going to buckle southward out of Canada in the coming two weeks, allowing for more variety and more typical New England weather. Meanwhile, after so much action with record-setting Hurricane Beryl, the tropics have gone quiet for now – Matt examines why.
We’ve been busy in the tropics, especially with Hurricane Beryl setting records for its strength and early formation. However, the next seven days look quiet. The culprit? Saharan dust. This dry air inhibits tropical system development, and you’ll see the brown dust on our maps showing up prominently this week. Despite the calm period, the ocean continues to heat up under the relentless sun.
Starting this week, we’re in the midst of a heat wave, with high heat and humidity making conditions oppressive. But relief is on the way. A significant cold front is approaching from Canada, bringing cooler, drier air by the end of the week. This transition has been evident in our 14-day dew point forecast, which has consistently shown a drop in humidity levels.
The first half of this week will see multiple disturbances in the jet stream, increasing the chances of showers and thunderstorms daily. The peak of this activity will be on Wednesday when the cold front moves through, bringing the highest likelihood of severe weather. By the end of the week, a jet stream trough will allow cooler air to seep south from Canada, resulting in much more comfortable conditions as we head into the weekend.
Despite the active jet stream overhead, the dry and comfortable air will likely negate the chances of showers and thunderstorms for most of New England. However, the North Country might see some showers on Sunday afternoon. Overall, expect a pleasant weekend with less humidity.
As we move into next week, a slight ridge in the jet stream will bring a return of warmth and humidity. Fortunately, this period will be shorter-lived. By the end of next week, another jet stream disturbance will bring cooler and drier air back into the region, breaking up the heat and providing more variability in our weather patterns.
This evolving pattern means more frequent changes in weather, with alternating periods of heat, humidity, and cooler air. This variability could bring much-needed rain to areas that have missed out recently, while providing breaks from the heat.
For those planning ahead, our Noyes’ 1DegreeOutside Weather app provides a detailed 14-day forecast, ensuring you have the latest weather information at your fingertips. Stay tuned to our insights videos for daily updates on the meteorology behind the forecast.
