1°Outside Pattern Predictions: June 24 to July 8, 2024

The July 4th week is on our 14-day, which you can always find on our Noyes’ 1°Outside Weather app…but why does the forecast look the way it does?  What could change?  That context can help all of us understand the forecast and, as a result, be prepared for what might change. Matt Noyes has the insight.

14-Day Weather Forecast: Warmth, Cool Downs, and Holiday Outlook

Midweek Warmth and Cool Down

We’re expecting a spike of warmth by midweek as a southwest wind brings in a brief ridge in the jet stream. This will allow temperatures to rise to around 90 degrees. However, a disturbance will bring a cold front, raising the chance of showers and thunderstorms by Wednesday evening, followed by cooler air.

Midweek Highlights:

  • Wednesday: Highs around 90°F with a chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
  • Thursday and Friday: Cooler, beautiful days with temperatures in the mid-70s to low 80s.

Weekend Warmth

The warmth will rebuild for the weekend as the jet stream shifts north, allowing heat from a high-pressure ridge in the southeastern United States to move in.

Weekend Outlook:

  • Saturday: Warmer temperatures, potentially hotter than initially forecast.
  • Sunday: Jet stream dips again, increasing the chance of showers and storms.

4th of July Week

As we approach the 4th of July, we’ll see near or slightly above normal temperatures. The proximity of the jet stream will increase the chances of afternoon and early evening showers and thunderstorms.

Holiday Week Highlights:

  • Early Next Week: Cooler air with highs in the mid-70s to low 80s.
  • 4th of July: Warm with increased chances of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening.

Long-Term Trends

Looking beyond the holiday, the pattern indicates a dip in the jet stream across the Northeast, which may increase the propensity for showers and thunderstorms. This setup could protect us from any tropical activity trying to develop in the Gulf or near the Bahamas.

Two-Week Summary:

  • Temperatures: Close to or slightly warmer than normal.
  • Precipitation: Near or slightly above normal due to increased chances of showers and thunderstorms.

Stay Informed

For detailed, location-specific forecasts, download our app from the app store. We provide quick overviews and deep dives into the meteorology driving the forecast. Keep an eye on the weather as we approach the 4th of July and enjoy the warm days ahead!