Friday’s Noyes’ Notes/1°Outside Today:
Red Flag Warnings in Gusty Wind

Danielle Noyes delivers the latest New England forecast, which features a breezy northwest wind expected to gust over 30 mph, keeping fire danger elevated and creating some potential for isolated wind damage. Tonight’s full Beaver Moon, a supermoon, will bring astronomical high tides that may result in minor coastal flooding, particularly on Cape Cod. The weather will mostly stay dry despite some variable cloud cover and a weak storm backing into the region. Showers may develop in parts of northern and eastern Maine, possibly mixing with some light freezing rain and wet snowflakes in the far north, though impacts are expected to be fairly minimal. Temperatures will feel brisk with wind-chill values in the 40s and 50s. Looking ahead, gusty conditions will ease gradually through the weekend, especially by late Sunday. A special shout-out goes to the seventh graders at King Philip Middle School, who enjoyed an enrichment program covering topics from climate change to severe weather.

National Meteorological Summary:

A coastal low off the Outer Banks will intensify today, impacting southeast Virginia and eastern North Carolina with gusty winds and rainfall through this morning. This low will then move offshore, clearing the eastern U.S. by Friday night. Meanwhile, high pressure will dominate much of the East Coast with warming temperatures into the weekend. Over the West, an unsettled pattern is expected with rain at lower elevations and mountain snow, particularly across the Pacific Northwest, northern California, and the northern Rockies. A cold front will bring below-average temperatures across the West, with highs up to 15 degrees below normal. In contrast, warmer air will persist from the Plains to the Eastern Seaboard, with highs 10–15 degrees above normal over the Midwest and Northeast through Saturday.

Northeast Weather Story:

New England and Upstate New York will remain under the influence of high pressure, bringing dry and mild conditions with temperatures climbing above seasonal norms. Winds will strengthen across the region as a deepening coastal low passes well offshore and high pressure builds to the west. Gusty northwest winds, especially in coastal areas, may reach 25 mph in places, raising fire weather concerns in southern New England, eastern New York, and Vermont, where a Red Flag Warning is in effect due to the dry conditions and low humidity levels.

Low-level moisture will wrap around the retreating low, bringing increasing cloud cover across eastern New England, especially later today. Maine and eastern Vermont may see some spotty drizzle or light rain showers by overnight as cooler air moves southward, but any precipitation will be light and patchy, unlikely to significantly affect travel or outdoor plans.

Through the weekend, high pressure will stay in control over the Northeast, keeping conditions dry with gradually increasing temperatures. Saturday will be breezy with northwest winds gusting 20-25 mph across New England, maintaining elevated fire weather risks, particularly in drought-affected areas. Coastal tides are expected to be unusually high, possibly leading to minor splashover along northeast-facing coastlines during high tide on Saturday.

By Sunday, temperatures will continue to warm, with daytime highs in the upper 50s to low 60s across southern New England. A weak cold front will approach from the northwest late Sunday night into Monday, bringing a slight chance of rain showers, mainly across northern New England. However, no significant precipitation is expected, and dry conditions will prevail through at least mid-week.