As we wrap up the weekend, New Englanders are looking ahead to a busy Thanksgiving week filled with travel, celebrations, and changing weather. Tonight, a calm but cold evening will set the stage for a quiet Monday before mixed showers move in Tuesday and a Thanksgiving storm takes aim at the region. While details for the holiday storm are still coming into focus, here’s what we know so far.
Sunday evening features clear skies and diminishing winds, bringing overnight temperatures to the freezing mark for many, with lows dipping into the 20s in colder northern valleys. Monday will be a tranquil day, with a mix of sun and clouds. Highs will reach around 50°F in southern New England, with cooler 40s across the northern half of the region. Light breezes make for comfortable late November weather—a perfect day to prepare for Thanksgiving week.
Tuesday’s weather marks the start of a more active pattern, with a disturbance bringing precipitation to New England. For northern areas, the morning hours will feature an icy mix of sleet and freezing rain, especially in the Northeast Kingdom of Vermont, northern New Hampshire, and parts of Maine. Northern Maine will also see snow before a midday transition to rain.
Elsewhere in New England, expect rain showers to spread across the region during the morning and midday hours before tapering off by late afternoon. Tuesday will be a wet day, overall, for many, with slick roads in the North Country Tuesday morning requiring extra caution.
All eyes are on Thursday, as a developing storm system moves into New England. Showers are expected to begin mid-morning to midday on Thanksgiving Day, continuing into the night as rain…and for some, snow.
For much of Southern New England, rain will likely dominate due to shallow cold air that struggles to hold its ground. However, the Berkshires, Worcester Hills, and Northern New England all stand a better chance of seeing snow on the front side of the storm. If the storm track aligns favorably, ski areas and snowmobile regions in northern Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine could see a base-building snow event, with wet snow accumulating significantly at higher elevations.
Uncertainty remains around the exact track and intensity of the storm, which will determine how far north the rain/snow line shifts. A more organized system could push the snow farther north, while a weaker storm would be less likely to bring big snow for anyone (rather than shifting it into Southern New England, for example).
By Friday, the storm is expected to depart, with drier weather taking hold across the region. Any lingering precipitation would likely be confined to the mountains of northern New England. The weekend looks quiet but cold, with daytime highs struggling to reach the 40s across much of the region.
As we move into early December, the active weather pattern continues, with chances for rain or snow between December 5th through 8th. With colder air settling into the region, the potential for snow events will be increased.
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