After one, big, cold upper level low moved over New England and prompted our downpours and thunderstorms Thursday, another is on the way for early next week – but that’s not an entirely bad thing! The same disturbances that cause these scattered damaging and flooding thunderstorms are protecting us from Hurricane Ernesto – though not from the rip currents and waves. Matt has the “deep dive” in today’s Insights video!
We’re starting out with some lingering atmospheric energy from yesterday’s weather system, which brought torrential rain, hail, and even some flash flooding to parts of the region. This energy will gradually move out today, giving us a bit of a breather before another system approaches, though you saw in our 1°Outside Today video, posted earlier, that a few showers will still pop up here and there. Highs today will reach into the 80s with humidity still present, so it will feel warm and a bit muggy.
Saturday’s forecast shows a relatively low chance of showers, but don’t let your guard down completely. A lobe of atmospheric energy will move through midday, bringing a ribbon of clouds and a few showers across the region. These showers will be hit or miss, so while you shouldn’t cancel outdoor plans, be prepared for a brief interruption.
By the evening, showers and storms will start to develop in New York and Pennsylvania, with some of that action creeping into Western and Northern New England by Sunday morning.
Sunday will be a more active weather day in New York and Pennsylvania, but some of those showers are likely to bleed east across state lines into Western and Northern New England, in particular. As the next upper-level disturbance moves in, expect showers and thunderstorms to bubble up more as the day progresses. The farther east you are, the lower your chance of rain, but everyone should be prepared for a shower by day’s end – stay tuned to our app forecast on this, which will continue to update rain chances based on your precise location.
Monday is shaping up to be the wettest day of the next several days. With the heart of the disturbance overhead, showers, thunderstorms, and downpours will be scattered throughout the region. This will also be the most humid day, with temperatures held in the 70s due to the cloud cover and rain. Some areas, particularly in Western New England, could see over an inch of rain, raising the risk of localized flash flooding.
Hurricane Ernesto, currently tracking near Bermuda, will bring significant impacts to the island, including strong winds and heavy rain. Here at home, while we won’t see direct effects from Ernesto, we will experience increased wave activity and rip currents, especially along our South Coast. By Sunday, waves will reach 2 to 4 feet along even our Eastern beaches, with larger swells offshore, so be cautious if you’re planning any beach or boating activities as rip currents will grow stronger throughout the weekend. Keep kids close to adults and be cautious of the developing rip current.
By Tuesday, we’ll start to see a significant drop in humidity as new, cooler air moves in. Highs will drop into the 60s North Country and 70s for most, bringing a much-needed break from the mugginess. This comfortable air will stick around through midweek, offering a nice reprieve before temperatures start to warm up again later in the week.
For those planning ahead, the 14-day forecast suggests a return to the 80s by next weekend, with overall pleasant conditions expected.
As always, you can track the latest weather updates and get your personalized 14-day forecast by downloading our Noyes’ 1Degree Outside Weather app. It’s available on both the App Store and Google Play. Enjoy your weekend and stay safe!
