Friday Noyes’ Notes/1°Outside Today: Critical Fire Weather Conditions, Turning Blustery & Colder

Meteorologist Danielle Noyes provides your Friday forecast as a cold front moves in, bringing strong winds and heightened fire danger. Behind the front, colder air settles in, with gusts regionwide 25-35 mph across New England, especially in higher elevations. Today’s temperatures will feel like the 50s with wind, though highs will reach the 60s in southern areas. The front is fairly moisture starved, though a passing shower can’t be ruled out. This weekend will be dry and cool, with some showers expected Sunday night into Monday, though rain totals will be minimal. Plus, Danielle shares her experience visiting Sanborn Elementary for an enrichment program! Want Danielle or Matt to visit your students? Reach out!

National Meteorological Summary

An active weather pattern continues across the United States with a variety of impactful weather from coast to coast. The Central and Southern Rockies will experience heavy snow, particularly in Colorado and New Mexico, due to a powerful upper-level trough and surface low. Some locations, especially the higher elevations, could receive snow accumulations nearing a foot, with blizzard-like conditions possible in the mountains due to high winds. Further east, the Southern Plains will contend with a combination of severe weather, heavy rainfall, and gusty winds as a developing low pressure system moves through Texas and Oklahoma, intensifying through the day. This system will bring the risk of severe thunderstorms and flash flooding, particularly in central and western Texas and parts of Oklahoma.

Meanwhile, Hurricane Rafael, situated over the Gulf of Mexico, is forecast to shift westward, away from Florida, and may interact with the aforementioned low pressure system over the central U.S., leading to a surge of moisture and scattered showers over the Southeast and Gulf Coast states. Record warmth continues along the East Coast from the Mid-Atlantic to the Southeast, with temperatures remaining above seasonal averages. Fire weather concerns persist across parts of California and the Southwest due to low humidity and gusty winds, with red flag warnings in place for some areas.

Northeast Weather Story

On Friday, New England and Upstate New York will experience the effects of a secondary cold front, which will bring cooler and breezy conditions to the region following recent unseasonably warm weather. This front, moving through from Canada, will introduce colder air and gusty northwest winds across the Northeast by Friday afternoon and evening. Some snow showers are expected in higher elevations, such as the Adirondacks and Green Mountains, with light accumulations likely confined to elevations above 2,000 feet.

Detailed Impacts:

  • Friday: Mostly dry conditions are expected for much of the day across the majority of New England, though gusty winds and falling temperatures will be a notable change from recent days. Daytime highs will generally range from the upper 40s in the mountains to mid-60s in southern areas, with temperatures rapidly dropping late in the day. Winds will shift to the northwest, with gusts of 25–35 mph common across lower elevations and possibly reaching 45 mph in higher terrain, increasing the wind chill factor and creating challenging conditions for outdoor activities and travel, especially for high-profile vehicles.
  • Friday Night: Colder air will fully settle in, leading to a chilly night with lows in the upper 20s to lower 30s across the region, except for coastal areas and urban centers, which may remain in the mid-30s. Strong wind gusts will persist overnight, particularly in northern and mountain locations, where wind chills could dip into the teens. These blustery and colder conditions will mark the start of a chilly and dry weekend for the region.
  • Saturday: High pressure will bring clearer skies and dry weather, but temperatures will remain on the cooler side, with highs mainly in the 40s across the region and some spots in the low 50s along the coast. Wind gusts should gradually diminish through the day, although it will remain breezy at times. Those planning outdoor activities should dress for brisk conditions.
  • Looking Ahead: As high pressure moves offshore by Sunday, a period of rain is likely late Sunday into early Monday as a frontal system approaches from the west. This system will bring a renewed chance for widespread fairly minimal rainfall to the Northeast, which will be welcome given ongoing dry conditions across the region.