Meteorologist Danielle Noyes highlights a cold front crossing the region today, which is kicking up the wind. Gusts of 20-35 mph, possibly higher in some areas, will elevate fire risk, prompting red flag warnings across parts of the region. A mild start quickly warms into the 70s, flirting with and likely breaking records in parts of Southern New England, while Northern New England cools through the day. After a cooler night tonight, the weekend promises fair skies and typical fall temperatures, with another warm-up expected next week.
National Meteorological Summary:
A dynamic start to November sees unseasonably warm weather hanging on in the Northeast, Eastern Great Lakes, and Mid-Atlantic regions as a wave of low pressure advances northeastward from the Midwest, with a trailing cold front expected to move off the coast by Friday evening. This front will bring showers and cooler air eastward, ending the record warmth. Marginally severe thunderstorms may affect parts of the Ohio, Tennessee, and Lower Mississippi Valleys, where heavy rain poses a localized flash flood risk.
Meanwhile, in the Northwest, a second, strong low-pressure system brings moderate to heavy snowfall to high elevations in the Cascades, Northern Rockies, and Upper Midwest. This system will strengthen as it continues east, promoting heavy rainfall over the Southern Plains by the weekend, where deep Gulf moisture will meet a trough digging into the West. Over the weekend and into early next week, this setup will lead to thunderstorms, heavy rain, and an increased risk of flash flooding from Texas to the southern Great Lakes.
Northeast Weather Story:
Unusually warm and dry weather will continue across the Northeast on Friday before changes arrive. Temperatures ahead of the front may reach record highs in the 70s to near 80°F across New England, Eastern New York, and the Mid-Atlantic —a rare warmth for early November. A strengthening southwest flow will bring gusty winds, especially in the high terrain of the Adirondacks and the coastal areas of New York and New England, with gusts between 25 and 35 mph. This wind will increase drying across the region, elevating fire weather concerns on Friday in areas south of the Adirondacks, especially in southern New England, the Hudson Valley, and northeastern Pennsylvania.
The approaching cold front continues to press eastward, bringing cooler, drier air that will arrive in full force Friday night. However, the limited moisture accompanying this front will result in light, scattered showers across Northern New York and New England. As a result, little relief is expected for the region’s ongoing drought, particularly for southern New England, where recent dry weather has exacerbated water deficits. By Friday evening, blustery conditions will spread across the region, with wind gusts of 30-35 mph over the higher terrain and along the coast, signaling the colder air moving in behind the front. High temperatures Friday will vary widely as areas south of the front stay warm, but all of New England should feel the chill by Friday night as temperatures drop into the 30s to lower 40s.
The weekend will bring classic November conditions, with cooler and seasonable temperatures and partly sunny skies. High pressure will settle over the region, bringing calmer conditions by Saturday night, though strong northwest winds will persist in the higher elevations. This colder weather will ensure a frost in the mountain valleys, with many spots seeing lows near or below freezing. The next chance for widespread showers arrives Monday evening, as a warm front brings a return of above-average warmth by midweek, potentially reaching 60s and 70s.
