Friday Noyes’ Notes/1°Outside Today: Biting Wind, Weekend Storm Brings Jackpot Snow for Ski Country!

West-northwest gusts 35-45 mph across the region are expected today, with isolated gusts to 55 mph in the the hilly terrain. The wind will add a bite to the air and result in isolated pockets of damage/outages. Cold air continues to move in tonight, setting the stage for a significant weekend storm. More details on the weekend in Matt’s Insights from Thursday, and be sure to check back for updates later today! Meanwhile, Danielle has your Noyes’ Notes &  24 hour forecast in the video, and read on for our daily National & Northeast weather summaries below.

National Meteorological Summary

The U.S. remains under the influence of a highly active weather pattern, with multiple storm systems bringing significant winter weather, flooding, and severe storms to different parts of the country.

A large winter storm is set to impact the Great Lakes and Northeast this weekend, bringing heavy snow, mixed precipitation, and strong winds. The system will initially produce snow and ice across the Midwest and Great Lakes today, before shifting into the interior Northeast on Saturday and Sunday. Over a foot of snow is possible in parts of Upstate New York, Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine, while a wintry mix of sleet and freezing rain is expected in southern New England and the Hudson Valley before a changeover to rain.

Meanwhile, a dangerous flooding event is unfolding across the Ohio Valley, Tennessee Valley, and central Appalachians, where 3-6 inches of rain are expected from Saturday into Sunday. This excessive rainfall will likely lead to flash flooding and river flooding, with some areas at risk for life-threatening conditions due to already saturated ground.

Further south, an Enhanced Risk (Level 3 of 5) of severe thunderstorms exists from eastern Texas to western Alabama on Saturday. Damaging winds, large hail, and tornadoes are all possible, especially as a powerful cold front sweeps eastward.

On the West Coast, an atmospheric river event continues to bring heavy rain and mountain snow to California and the Intermountain West. Flooding and mudslides remain concerns in Southern California, while the Sierra Nevada could see several more feet of snow.

Looking ahead, the Arctic air mass plunging southward will bring bitter cold temperatures to the Plains, Midwest, and Northeast early next week, with temperatures running 20-30°F below normal in some locations. Wind chills could drop well below zero in the Great Lakes and Northeast by Monday, prolonging hazardous conditions even after the storm exits.

Northeast Weather Story 

A bitterly cold and windy day is in store for New England and Upstate New York, as strong northwest winds behind yesterday’s departing storm bring wind gusts of 35-50 mph across the region. Wind chill values will make it feel like the single digits and teens throughout the day, and lake-effect snow will continue in western and northern New York.

Today: Strong Winds & Cold with Lake Effect Snow

  • Wind Gusts: 35-50 mph across New England and Upstate New York, strongest along the coast and in higher elevations.
  • Temperatures: Highs only in the 20s for most of New England, with teens in northern areas.
  • Wind Chills: Single digits to low teens all day.
  • Snowfall:
    • Lake effect snow bands will continue across central and northern New York, with localized snowfall of 6-12 inches possible in the Tug Hill Plateau and western Adirondacks.
    • A few snow showers and flurries could make it into Vermont and western Massachusetts.

Saturday – Sunday: Major Winter Storm Arrives

A long-duration winter storm will begin to impact the region late Saturday afternoon, continuing through Sunday night. This storm will bring a messy mix of snow, sleet, freezing rain, and rain, depending on location.

  • Interior New England & Upstate NY (Albany, Rutland, Concord, Bangor):

    • Heavy snow develops Saturday evening and continues overnight.
    • 6-12 inches of snow likely, with locally higher amounts over 12 inches possible in the Adirondacks, Green Mountains, White Mountains, and northern Maine.
    • Snow may mix with sleet and freezing rain by Sunday morning, creating hazardous travel conditions.
  • Southern New England (Boston, Providence, Hartford, coastal NH & ME):

    • Snow arrives Saturday night, with accumulations of 2-5 inches before a changeover to sleet, freezing rain, and then plain rain by Sunday afternoon.
    • Ice accumulations of 0.10-0.25 inches could lead to slippery roads and scattered power outages.
  • Coastal Areas (Cape Cod, South Coast, Islands, Southern CT, Long Island):

    • A brief period of snow early Sunday morning, but warm air surging in will lead to mainly rain by midday.
    • Strong southeast winds (40-50 mph gusts) may lead to coastal flooding concerns during high tide.

Storm Timing & Travel Impacts:

  • Saturday Night: Snow develops, accumulating quickly inland.
  • Sunday Morning: Hazardous travel conditions with heavy snow inland and mixed precipitation south.
  • Sunday Afternoon: Changeover to rain along the coast, continued snow/sleet inland.
  • Sunday Night: **Snow tapers off, but strong winds and rapidly dropping temperatures could cause a flash freeze, leading to icy roads overnight.

Monday – Tuesday: Arctic Blast & Strong Winds

As the storm departs, an Arctic air mass will surge into New England, bringing:

  • Highs only in the teens and low 20s Monday & Tuesday.
  • Wind chills below zero in the morning hours.
  • Gusty northwest winds (35-45 mph) making it feel even colder.

Lake-effect snow showers will continue in western New York and parts of Vermont. Travel conditions may remain treacherous due to blowing snow and icy roads.