Matt Noyes gives us the deep-dive into meteorology with our Tuesday Insights, focused on brush fire spread, incoming record warmth that could prove to be all-time November record warmth for some, increasing rain in the Eastern United States and how Tropical Storm Raphael may eventually increase our chances of rain in the Northeast. It’s all in today’s Insights video!
With dry weather and gusty winds continuing, brush fire dangers remain high across the region. To help you track wind speeds, air quality, and fire spread conditions, we’ve set up a live feed at livestream.1degreeoutside.com with real-time maps and our latest video content. It’s also accessible from the bottom of our app’s home screen or on our YouTube Channel and Twitch Channel.
Wednesday brings a surge of unseasonable warmth with gusty southwest winds reaching 30 mph across much of New England at times. These warmer breezes will push daytime temperatures into the 70s across central and southern New England. Many areas are likely to tie or break daily high records, with Portland, Maine potentially challenging its all-time November high of 75°…and most of New England has all-time November record high temperatures between 75 degrees and the lower 80s.. Although winds are expected to ease slightly Wednesday night, fire concerns will remain due to continued dry air with only isolated to scattered showers as a cold front moves through.
A cold front will push through late Wednesday into Wednesday night, shifting winds to the northwest by Thursday. Although temperatures will start to dip, they’ll still remain above seasonal averages through the end of the week, with highs in the 60s on Thursday and Friday. Saturday ushers in more seasonable, cool air, and overnight temperatures will drop to near-freezing across much of New England, especially inland.
As Tropical Storm Rafael develops in the Gulf of Mexico, its moisture will influence upcoming weather patterns. Rafael is currently expected to cross western Cuba as a Category 1 hurricane before making its way northward into the Gulf. While it’s not projected to strengthen significantly, it will bring enough moisture into the eastern U.S. to enhance shower chances even into New England by late next week. This slight increase in rain chances could help alleviate some brush fire risks.