Monday’s Noyes’ Notes/1°Outside Today: Steadiest Rain First Half of the Day

Get ready for a cool, rainy start to this Monday as the steadiest rain falls during the first half of the day. Expect pockets of rain, heavier at times, with a few rumbles of thunder possible. Temperatures will rise into the low 60s, with breaks of sun in western New England by afternoon, and some clearing for central and eastern New England closer to sunset. Northern New England will stay cooler, with upper 50s and lingering showers. Tonight, temperatures drop into the 40s, with some upper 30s in the far north. Stay tuned for updates on Hurricane Milton and more details in our upcoming Insights video.

National Weather Summary:

The main weather story for the nation on Monday will focus on Hurricane Milton, intensifying in the southwest Gulf of Mexico and moving northeastward toward Florida. Ahead of Milton, very heavy rainfall is forecast across the southern Florida Peninsula, with localized flooding a significant concern. A Moderate Risk for excessive rainfall has been issued for Miami and Fort Lauderdale, as well as parts of South Florida. Rainfall totals in the next few days could exceed 5 to 10 inches, with isolated amounts up to 15 inches by midweek.

Elsewhere, a cold front will push through the Upper Ohio Valley and Northeast, bringing showers and thunderstorms to these regions.

Meanwhile, a record-breaking heatwave continues across California and the Desert Southwest, where temperatures will remain in the upper 90s to low 100s. Heat advisories remain in effect as dangerous heat persists, particularly in the southern and central parts of California. The extreme heat will expand into the Plains states over the next few days, with temperatures 20 to 25°F above normal, especially in the central U.S.

Cooler air will settle over the Northeast and Great Lakes following the frontal passage, bringing more seasonable autumn weather and the potential for lake-effect rain showers. Frost may develop in parts of the Great Lakes and interior Northeast by midweek as nighttime temperatures dip into the 30s.


Northeast Weather Summary:

A cold front sweeping across the Northeast will bring scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms, primarily in the morning and early afternoon hours. Western and northern areas, including parts of New York, Pennsylvania, and Vermont, will see the most rainfall with the passage of this front.

As the front moves through, skies will gradually clear, and a northwest breeze will usher in cooler and drier air. Expect afternoon highs ranging from the upper 50s in northern New England to the mid-60s in southern New England and coastal regions. The gusty northwest winds, particularly near the Great Lakes, could produce lake-effect showers, mainly impacting the Adirondacks and parts of northern New York.

By Monday night, clearing skies and cooling temperatures will drop into the 40s across much of the region, with some 30s possible in the higher elevations of Vermont and northern New York. As a result, patchy frost could develop in these colder areas, especially in rural valleys. The cool and dry pattern will persist through midweek, with mostly clear skies and crisp autumn conditions.