Pattern Predictions:
Mid-Month Shift Could Bring Increased Storm Development

New England is locked into a cold but dry weather pattern, leaving snow lovers longing for more action. The start of January has delivered below-normal temperatures, with a strong polar vortex anchored over Canada feeding chilly air into the Northeast. While this setup feels like a classic winter, it hasn’t meant widespread snow for most.

In fact, the storm track remains suppressed southward, keeping significant snow events confined to the mid-Atlantic and Southeast. Dallas, TX, even has a better chance of seeing measurable snow than Boston over the next two weeks—a true frustration for New Englanders dreaming of a winter wonderland.

That said, this pattern isn’t entirely without snowfall. Northern New England’s ski areas have seen steady upslope snow, with the Green Mountains and northwest-facing slopes of the Whites benefiting from cold winds and snow showers. Lake effect snow has also boosted totals in New York’s snow belts, while snowmaking has helped mountain resorts maintain good conditions for skiers and riders.

For the Boston area and Southern New England, chances for accumulating snow remain slim in the near term. A weak disturbance Saturday could bring a flurry or two, and another system early next week will bear watching, but both are more likely to impact areas farther south.

Looking ahead, there’s potential for a shift around mid-month. If the jet stream’s trough position adjusts westward, it could allow Gulf of Mexico moisture to move farther north, increasing New England’s chances for storm development. Until then, it’s a waiting game for snow enthusiasts, but the extended cold pattern is firmly in place, ensuring we won’t thaw out anytime soon.

Keep up with the latest insights and 14-day forecasts on the Noyes’ 1DegreeOutside Weather app, free for download on iOS and Android.