Matt Noyes always unpacks the 14-day forecast in Pattern Predictions each Monday, giving a heads-up to what to watch for over the coming two weeks, why it’s evolving the way it is and how the forecast may change as the days go by. Today, Matt says to be ready for weekend warmth to turn out even warmer than current projections, but also cautions eventually we may have to deal with Siberian, North Pole and Alaskan cold that’s building with subzero temperatures. It’s all in today’s Pattern Predictions video!
Jet Stream and Temperature Trends
The next two weeks are shaping up to be a fascinating blend of cooler weather followed by a warm-up. As the week begins, the jet stream forms a trough over the Northeastern U.S., bringing cool air and frost potential for midweek. However, by next weekend, a strong ridge of high pressure builds over the Eastern Seaboard, signaling a sharp warm-up. Expect temperatures to rise, possibly even warmer than forecasted, for the weekend and into early next week.
Warm-Up Ahead, But Short-Lived
As the ridge strengthens, the warmth should persist through next weekend, with temperatures above normal for this time of year. However, cooler air won’t stay away for long. After a brief period of warmth, another round of colder air is expected as the jet stream dips again by the end of next week. Despite this pattern shift, it’s unlikely we’ll see any major storm systems until around Halloween.
No Big Storms in Sight…Yet
With the jet stream energy staying north and moisture from the south not aligning, large storm systems won’t be a major factor in New England in the coming weeks. However, by the 28th or 29th of October, we could see more favorable conditions for stronger storms as energy from Canada and moisture from the Gulf start to merge. Until then, expect mostly dry conditions aside from some upslope snow in mountain regions.
A Sneak Peek at November
Looking even further ahead, colder air is building in Siberia, Alaska, and the North Pole. This early-season cold could spill into the U.S. by mid-to-late November, bringing significant chill and potential early winter conditions. We’ll be closely monitoring this developing pattern.
Tropics Update
Tropical development remains quiet this week, thanks to strong wind shear. However, as next week approaches, we’ll keep an eye on a convergence zone near Puerto Rico, the Dominican Republic, and Haiti. Stalled cold fronts in this area could provide the conditions needed for tropical development. We’ll continue to update you on this potential tropical activity.
Stay Updated
As always, keep an eye on the 14-day forecast using Noyes’ 1DegreeOutside Weather app, where you can track the changes in temperature and any upcoming weather events. Don’t forget to check out our merchandise and support us at swag.1degreeoutside.com.
