The change in weather pattern isn’t as pronounced and sudden over the next two weeks as what we watched move in with the colder air this week…but we’ll see a gradual shift back toward normal temperatures next week, explains Matt Noyes in this week’s Pattern Predictions 14-day forecast video.
In today’s Pattern Predictions, Matt Noyes explains what many New Englanders are already feeling: spring warmth is struggling to take hold. Starting the next two weeks, we remain entrenched in a dip—or “trough”—in the jet stream, keeping cold Canadian air pouring southward. This weekend’s storm will make full use of that setup, bringing rain and some snow to northern New England. And just as that disturbance exits, another follows early next week, reinforcing the chilly trend.
This is a prolonged battle before we approach near-normal temperatures. Southern warmth tries to push in, but every push is eventually met by another Canadian front diving south and reestablishing the chill. While some moderation is possible by the middle or end of next week, true sustained warmth may not arrive until the last third of April.
High temperatures remain mostly below average through the next week, with daytime highs struggling through the 40s and 50s. Overnight lows stay cold enough for frost and freeze conditions to linger, so planting season is still on hold for most of New England. For those wondering about the “last frost,” Matt reminds us that for many areas, it typically arrives at the end of April or even into May.
Rainfall continues to be a bright spot. With repeated systems, central and eastern U.S. rain totals are adding up, slowly restoring moisture to the water table. And yes, there’s still more snow expected in the mountains of northern New England this week—potentially up to 6 to 8 inches in higher elevations. The strong April sun may melt it quickly, but it’s another reminder that winter isn’t quite finished at the highest terrain.
You can always track the full 14-day forecast in our 1DegreeOutside Weather app, free on the App Store and Google Play, and check out our monthly forecast at 1DegreeOutside.com.
