Pattern Predictions: Looking To the Second Half of February

New England’s wintry weather pattern remains locked in, continuing a stretch of midweek and weekend storm systems that have defined February so far. While the overall jet stream setup sees a closing window when it comes to any hope for blockbuster storms, Matt Noyes shares that doesn’t mean we won’t see accumulating snow.

New England’s winter pattern remains locked in, continuing the trend of midweek and weekend storm systems that have shaped February so far. With a fast-moving jet stream, warmth and moisture continue to surge northward ahead of each storm, fueling multiple rounds of snow, mix, and rain. But as we move deeper into the month, some key changes are on the horizon.

Midweek & Weekend Storms Continue

For now, the pattern remains active. The midweek system set to arrive Wednesday night into Thursday will start as snow across much of New England before warm air pushes in and creates a changeover to sleet and rain in parts of southern New England. As has been the case with previous storms, northern areas will hold onto snow longer, leading to higher accumulations, while locations farther south may see totals capped by mixing.

By the weekend, another storm takes shape, following a similar setup: warmth and moisture surge northward, leading to snow on the front end before a potential transition to a mix or rain, depending on storm track. This pattern has been repeating for weeks, and New Englanders should expect at least one more round of this setup beyond the weekend, possibly another midweek system next week.

How Much Snow Could Fall?

With repeated systems and consistent moisture availability, the snow potential remains high, especially in northern New England. Over the next two weeks:

  • Northern New England: Likely to pick up 1.5 to 2 feet of snow.
  • Southern New England: Generally 6 to 12 inches, depending on the storm track and mixing.

Although these storms haven’t been true blockbuster blizzards, steady snowfall is accumulating, making this a solid winter for ski areas, snowmobilers, and snow lovers alike.

A Late February Shift?

Beyond February 19-20, there are signs of a shift in the jet stream position, with the overall storm track dipping farther south and the cold air becoming more dominant over the Northeast. While this doesn’t mean snow is off the table, it may limit the potential for bigger storms in the final stretch of the month. With cold, dry air overhead, the atmosphere may struggle to generate the same level of widespread storminess, meaning lighter, more scattered snow events could take over instead.

Final Thoughts

New England is not done with snow, and the mountains in particular are on track for several more accumulating events. The midweek and weekend pattern continues to hold, at least through next weekend, before potential changes arrive late in the month.

Will we see a 2015-style February snow blitz? Probably not. But New England is in for several accumulating storms, especially in the mountains. Keep checking back for updates as new data comes in!

📲 Download our app to stay ahead of each storm: Search Noyes 1DegreeOutside Weather in the App Store and Google Play.