You can always find the 14-day forecast in our app, but Matt and Danielle like to provide more context than just numbers – that’s what makes Noyes’ 1°Outside Weather Network something so special – an opportunity to really understand the why behind the forecast, empowering all of us to understand what may change along the way and why. We encourage watching the entire video, but here’s an overview if you need the big points:
Jet Stream & Temperature Trends: The jet stream is the fast river of air, high in the sky, that steers storms and disturbances while separating cool air to the north from warmth to south – accurately predicting the jet stream is key to an accurate forecast when looking days out. Early in the week, a dip in the jet stream has brought cooler air and a risk of showers and thunderstorms, particularly today (Monday). By midweek, on Wednesday, the shower and thunderstorm chance rises again, more driven by an approaching cold front at the surface. As the week progresses, the jet stream will shift, allowing warmer air to move in just in time for the weekend. Expect temperatures in the 80s on Saturday, but cooler fall air will return by next week, bringing some of the chilliest nights we’ve seen this season, with lows potentially dropping into the 40s and even 30s in sheltered valleys.
Humidity & Dew Point: The humidity will peak midweek with the arrival of warmer air, creating a more muggy feel, especially on Wednesday. However, as the cold front sweeps through, humidity will decrease significantly, making the latter half of the week much more comfortable. Dew points will drop, indicating drier air, and setting the stage for cooler overnight temperatures. That cycle likely repeats this weekend into next week.
Rain Chances: This week, the primary days for showers in New England are Monday, Wednesday, and Saturday, with the timing of any showers or storms still somewhat flexible by Saturday depending on the timing of returning warmth/humidity and a follow-up cold front.
Tropical Activity: Out in the tropics, conditions remain relatively quiet, with dry air and Saharan dust limiting storm development. There are no significant concerns for tropical storm activity over the next week, thanks to unfavorable conditions for development.
What to Expect: With a blend of warmth, cooler fall-like air, and scattered showers, the upcoming 14 days offer a true taste of transitional weather. As always, Noyes’ 1DegreeOutside Weather app is your best tool to stay updated on the latest weather changes and to track how these patterns evolve for your specific location.