Pattern Predictions is designed to give some context to the 14-day forecast you see in our Noyes’ 1DegreeOutside Weather App. Any app can deliver data and numbers, but understanding what those numbers mean – and perhaps most importantly, how they may change in the days ahead – is what we believe to be truly empowering. So, take that power to plan into your own hands as you get Matt’s rundown on the first half of September in New England! Also, Matt references the September monthly forecast, posted earlier, which you can find here.
Temperature Trends: A Cooler Start with a Warmer Finish?
Over the next two weeks, the jet stream’s persistent trough pattern will continue to influence our weather in the Eastern United States. This means cooler-than-normal temperatures will be the norm for much of the first half of September. You’ll notice daytime highs hovering in the low to mid-70s, slightly below where we should be for the start of the month. While there will be occasional warmer days that push near 80°F, these will be the exception rather than the rule.
Interestingly, there’s potential for a shift in the jet stream pattern as we approach mid-September. If this happens, it could bring a warmer second half of the month, potentially flipping the overall temperature trend above normal. However, this is not a certainty, as the current pattern has been quite stubborn, making any sudden shift less likely but still possible – please see our monthly forecast.
Dew Point and Humidity: A Brief Return to Summer’s Humidity
Many of you have been closely watching the dew point temperatures, especially after such a humid summer. For the most part, the next two weeks will feature comfortable air with lower humidity. However, as we head into the upcoming weekend, there will be a brief spike in humidity. This increase will bring a corresponding rise in the chance of showers, particularly from Friday through Sunday.
Precipitation Chances: A Watchful Eye on Weekend Plans
As mentioned, the elevated humidity this weekend will bring a higher chance of showers. However, it’s essential not to jump to conclusions just yet. While there’s an increased likelihood of rain, it’s too early to pinpoint the exact timing. The showers could shift by several hours, potentially avoiding key outdoor activities. So, while you should stay informed and keep an eye on the forecast, there’s no need to cancel any plans just yet.
Tropical Activity: An Increasingly Active Atlantic
The tropics are expected to become more active over the next two weeks. With warm ocean temperatures and increasingly favorable conditions for development, the Atlantic is primed for more significant activity. The combination of reduced wind shear and diminishing dry air is creating a more conducive environment for tropical storm formation. This means we could see more organized systems emerging as we move deeper into September, so it’s crucial to stay updated on any potential developments.
Stay Connected with Our App
To stay on top of these evolving conditions, download the Noyes’ 1 DegreeOutside Weather app, available on the App Store and Google Play. The app provides a 14-day forecast, but for the most accurate and detailed insights, be sure to watch the daily Insights videos. These videos offer valuable context and help you understand the nuances behind the numbers, ensuring you’re never caught off guard by changing weather conditions.
