Pattern Predictions: Wind, Temperature Swings, Northern Snow Usher in Spring

In the monthly forecast, Matt Noyes explained why mid-March would likely be a breaking point for winter.  There’s no change to that expectation, with Matt in our Pattern Predictions forecast for the next two weeks now seeing near or above normal temperatures in the coming 14 days.  Full details in the video!

If you’ve been waiting for spring to fully take over, the next two weeks are for you. While a few lingering snow chances remain, the overall trend is for above-normal temperatures, gusty winds, and limited precipitation.

A fast-moving midweek system brings some rain and snow showers Wednesday night into Thursday, but it won’t be a big storm—just a quick hit of moisture before another surge of warm air arrives for the weekend.

Spring Warmth Dominates the Next Two Weeks

Looking ahead, the pattern continues to favor warmth across New England, with highs frequently reaching the 50s and even low 60s at times.

🌡️ What’s Driving the Warmth?

  • Strong storm systems keep forming in the central U.S. 🌪️
  • We stay on the warm side of these storms, with strong southerly winds
  • Each storm brings a fresh surge of mild air before colder air briefly returns

This means no major prolonged cold snaps and overnight lows often staying above freezing—but we’re not quite done with frost yet!

Dry Conditions & Brush Fire Risk Rising

One concerning trend is continued dry conditions.

💨 Why is this a problem?

  • New England is behind on precipitation for March
  • Brush fire season is beginning in parts of the region
  • With multiple windy days ahead, fire danger increases

📌 Rainfall chances:

  • This midweek system brings only minor moisture
  • Weekend storm has some rain, but totals look low
  • Overall, we remain below normal precipitation for March

Midweek System: Rain & Snow Showers Wednesday Night-Thursday

Our next precipitation chance comes Wednesday night into Thursday, but it won’t be a big deal.  Continue to follow our “Insights” videos for full details on this, including today’s video!  This system is moisture-starved, meaning not much precipitation to work with—a sign of our shifting pattern toward spring.

Weekend Storm: Wind & Warmth, But No Big Snow

While a big storm is expected in the central U.S. this weekend, New England stays on the warm side.

📌 Key Weekend Takeaways:

  • Temperatures surge into the 50s & 60s 🌡️
  • Wind gusts over 50 mph Sunday! 💨
  • Rain showers likely, but no major storm impact

If you were hoping for one last March snowstorm in southern New England, it’s just not in the cards right now.  Northern New England at least can squeeze out some snow ahead of the warmth for a number of these disturbances, but warmth wins out for all in the end.

Late March/April: Could Winter Make an Encore Appearance?

Looking beyond this weekend, New England’s storm track remains mild. While cold air is still locked up in Canada and Siberia, it stays mostly north of us.

That said, there is one scenario that could still bring snow: if a storm hugs the East Coast instead of cutting inland, it could tap into colder air and produce snow before ending as rain.  It’s for that reason Matt continues to say a late month or April cold storm can’t be ruled out – but isn’t favored by the pattern for now.