Thursday Insights: Deep Humidity This Weekend, Then a Pattern Change

Although deep humidity and a corresponding increase in downpours and thunder will return this weekend after a respite for most Thursday into Friday, a larger, more meaningful pattern change at the jet stream level lay ahead for the first half of August.  Matt has full details in today’s Insights video.

Recent Rainfall and Current Conditions

In the past 24 hours, some areas, particularly in the mountains of New Hampshire and Maine, picked up over an inch of rain, prompting flash flood warnings. However, most of us didn’t see that much rain. Today, we get a bit of a break with a weak cold front that has decreased the atmospheric moisture.

Jet Stream and Weather Pattern

The big story is the significant change in jet stream winds. The jet stream, a fast river of air high in the sky, steers storm systems and separates cool air to the north from warm air to the south. This weekend, as potential tropical development near Florida takes shape, we have a brief open window of wind at the jet stream level along the eastern seaboard. However, this window closes quickly with a return to the westerlies, protecting us from tropical systems for the first part of August. This pattern prevents prolonged heat waves, so while we will see warm temperatures, we’re not expecting long stretches in the 90s.

Upcoming Weather Forecast

  • Friday: A warm front returns, bringing back humid air. Thunderstorms may develop by Friday evening, potentially causing localized flash flooding in Western Massachusetts and Western Connecticut.
  • Saturday: As the humid air establishes itself, expect a couple of showers in the morning. By midday, isolated showers may pop up, becoming more widespread in the afternoon. Torrential downpours are possible in areas where it rains due to high atmospheric moisture.
  • Sunday: Northern New England may see showers in the morning. Central and southern New England will likely experience more showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening as a cold front moves in. The cold front will bring less humid air for the start of next week.

Stay Updated

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