Although there are still a few days for the exact track of Hurricane Ernesto to be fine-tuned, the general theme is a hurricane that will pass near Sable Island, off the coast of Nova Scotia. This will mean building surf and rip currents for New England and dangerous seas for our commercial fishing fleets in the Canadian Maritimes with heavy rain possible in Newfoundland. In New England, another jet stream disturbance will raise the chance of showers later in the weekend, in particular, but eventually delivers some comfortable and dry air in the 14-day dew point forecast. It’s all in the video!
For today, we’re focusing on the potential for thunderstorms, some of which could turn severe with gusty winds – more on that with Danielle in our earlier 1°Outside Today post. This is due to a jet stream disturbance moving overhead, bringing energy into the atmosphere. We’ll see one round of this energy today, but it will drift east by tomorrow, giving us a bit of a break before the next disturbance approaches over the weekend.
Ernesto is on track to impact Bermuda significantly by Friday evening, with hurricane warnings already in place. The storm is expected to pass near Sable Island by Sunday night, bringing strong winds and heavy rain to the area. For New England, we’re on the outskirts of Ernesto’s reach, but we will see an increase in wave activity and rip currents, especially along our South Coast. Waves will start building Friday night, with heights reaching 5 to 6 feet by Saturday afternoon and possibly up to 14 feet offshore by Sunday and Monday. This means it’s crucial to exercise caution if you’re planning to be near the water this weekend.
Today’s thunderstorms will move out by evening, leading to a quieter day on Friday with only a slight chance of showers, mainly in Northern and Western New England. Saturday will bring a low chance of showers, but most of us should stay dry for much of the day. The real rain event begins on Sunday in Western New England, with showers and thunderstorms expanding from west to east throughout the day, arriving last to Eastern New England.
As we head into the new week, expect Monday to be unsettled with continued showers, but relief is on the way with lower humidity and cooler temperatures arriving by midweek.
For those looking to track the latest weather updates, including Ernesto’s impact and our local forecast, you can download our Noyes’ 1Degree Outside Weather app. It’s free on the App Store and Google Play and gives you access to a 14-day forecast, interactive radar, and all our latest videos.
Have a great day!
