Thursday Noyes’ Notes/1°Outside Today: Slick Spots Even As Temperatures Nudge Up

In our 24-hour video, Matt Noyes has a lot to cover!  This morning, even as the air temperature nudges above the melting point in spots, ground temperatures are still below freezing so some icing is still ongoing.  Temperatures rise later for many, slowest in the north – and winds start to kick up this evening and tonight.  Watch the video for all the details.

National Meteorological Summary – Thursday, February 13, 2025

A dynamic winter storm continues to impact the Northeast U.S. today, bringing snow, ice, and rain to a broad swath of the region. A low-pressure system tracking through the Great Lakes is pulling a warm front northward, resulting in a wintry mix inland and heavy rain along the coast. Accumulating snowfall of 6-12 inches is likely in northern New England, with significant icing concerns across interior areas before a transition to rain. Gusty winds up to 50 mph are expected, especially along the coastal Northeast and higher elevations.

Meanwhile, a powerful atmospheric river event continues in California, bringing flooding rains and heavy mountain snow. A Moderate Risk (Level 3 of 4) of excessive rainfall remains in effect for Southern California, with landslides and debris flows possible. The Sierra Nevada is seeing several feet of snow, making for extremely difficult travel conditions.

In the Central U.S., a new Arctic front is dropping southward, bringing bitterly cold air to the Plains and Midwest, where temperatures are running 20-30°F below normal. Another round of heavy snow and ice is expected from the Upper Midwest into the Northeast this weekend, setting the stage for significant winter weather impacts on Saturday and Sunday.

The severe weather threat today is low, but isolated strong thunderstorms with damaging winds and a brief tornado are possible across the Florida Panhandle and southern Georgia as a cold front pushes eastward.

Looking ahead, the active pattern continues into next week, with another storm system potentially bringing heavy precipitation to the Midwest, Northeast, and the interior South early next week.

Northeast Weather Story – Thursday, February 13, 2025

Today: Snow, Ice, and Rain Impacting Travel

A low-pressure system tracking through the Great Lakes is bringing widespread precipitation to the Northeast today.

  • Interior New England (VT, NH, western MA, Upstate NY, interior ME):

    • Snowfall accumulations of 2-4 inches in Northern New England, but as much as 6-12 inches in Northern Maine!
    • A period of sleet and freezing rain is likely before the changeover to rain, particularly in southern Vermont, southern New Hampshire, and interior western Massachusetts.
    • Ice accumulations of 0.10″ to 0.25″ could create hazardous travel conditions and scattered power outages.
  • Coastal & Southern New England (Boston, Hartford, Providence, Portland, southern NH & ME coast):

    • Snow early this morning will quickly change to rain as warm air surges in.
    • Roads will turn wet but not icy, though ponding and poor drainage flooding is possible in urban areas.

By the afternoon, most of New England south of Route 2 in MA and NH will see plain rain, while northern areas continue with snow and a wintry mix before precipitation ends this evening.

Travel Impact:

  • Morning commute: Expect treacherous travel in many spots due to snow and ice.
  • Afternoon commute: Conditions improve south of I-90, but icy roads remain possible inland.
  • Air travel delays likely at Boston Logan, Bradley (Hartford), and Manchester due to low visibility and gusty winds.
  • Marine conditions hazardous, with high surf and coastal flooding possible due to strong onshore winds.

Tonight – Friday: Cold & Windy, Lake Effect Snow Develops

As the storm departs, a sharp cold front will sweep through New England, bringing:

  • Strong NW winds (30-50 mph) across the interior and coast, with the highest gusts along Cape Cod and the Islands.
  • Bitter wind chills in the single digits and teens.
  • Lake-effect snow bands forming off Lake Ontario, targeting northern New York and western Vermont with localized accumulations of 3-7 inches.

Despite the return of drier weather, travel may remain hazardous in areas impacted by blowing snow and lake-effect bands.

Saturday – Sunday: Another Major Winter Storm Looms

Confidence is growing for a significant weekend winter storm impacting the Northeast. Early indications suggest:

  • Heavy snow likely across interior New England (VT, NH, western MA, interior ME)
  • A mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain closer to the coast
  • Gusty winds and coastal flooding concerns along the coast

The exact track remains uncertain, but this storm has the potential to produce over 6 inches of snow in many areas, especially north of the Massachusetts Turnpike and into Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine.