Matt combined our usual Pattern Predictions (a look at the next two weeks) with today’s Insights (the deeper dive into meteorology). Dry weather may extend quite awhile here in New England, so anyone dependent on rainwater will want to conserve, while Matt also explains why the National Hurricane Center forecast for storm surge with Francine in Louisiana is so much higher than the most likely surge prediction.
A huge area of high pressure has built across not just the Northeast, but much of the country, holding back moisture from the tropical system, Francine, which is currently heading towards the Gulf Coast. The National Hurricane Center predicts Francine will strengthen to a Category 2 storm by late Wednesday as it makes landfall along the south coast of Louisiana. While we remain dry and clear here in the Northeast, our southern neighbors are bracing for heavy rain, storm surge, and wind damage. We’ll continue to keep an eye on this storm, but the bulk of its impact will be concentrated far to our south.
For us here at home, cool, dry air remains in control, making for fantastic weather throughout the week. Expect cool nights and seasonable days, with sunny skies dominating through Friday. By Thursday and Friday, we’ll be seeing a warming trend, with many areas reaching 80 degrees or higher!
However, there’s a backdoor cold front to watch for this weekend. This front will bring a noticeable temperature contrast between coastal areas and farther inland, especially on Saturday. You might see cooler conditions near the coast with northeast winds, while inland areas could still flirt with 80 degrees, but don’t worry—the weather looks beautiful overall.
While Francine won’t impact New England, it serves as a reminder of the different weather systems affecting various parts of the country.
Looking further ahead, the jet stream remains well to our north, meaning dry, pleasant weather will likely dominate through much of the next two weeks. The one thing we’re keeping an eye on is the potential for moisture from Francine or a lingering southern disturbance to make its way up the coast by September 20-21. However, right now, it seems more likely that we’ll stay dry.
If you rely on rainwater for irrigation or live in areas with dug wells, you may want to consider water conservation measures. This dry spell could last quite a while, and we’re unlikely to see any significant rain for at least the next two weeks.
It’s going to be fantastic weather for outdoor activities, so enjoy it! If you want more precise details for your specific location, be sure to use our Noyes’ 1DegreeOutside Weather App—it’s available on the App Store and Google Play.