Tuesday Noyes’ Notes/1°Outside Today: Next 24 Hours Sees Snow Split North & South

It looks like most of us won’t see snow in the coming 24-hours, but Matt Noyes says if you’re far enough north…or south…you will!  The culprits are a cold front moving in from Canada for Northern New England residents and a storm passing well south of New England for South Coast residents.  Check out all the details of the next 24-hours in the video here and, as Matt says in the video, if you’re looking for deeper details, that’s what our “Insights” videos are all about!  You’ll find Monday’s linked on our homepage and today’s will be out later this morning.

National Meteorological Summary – Tuesday, February 11, 2025

An extremely active pattern continues across the United States this week, featuring three major storm systems impacting different regions. The first of these systems is currently delivering heavy snow and significant icing across the central Appalachians and the Mid-Atlantic, with hazardous travel conditions expected. Meanwhile, rounds of heavy rainfall are bringing flash and river flooding threats from Texas into the Tennessee Valley and Southern Appalachians.

The second, more potent winter storm is forming in eastern Texas today and will intensify as it moves northeastward, spreading a wide swath of heavy snow from the Central Plains through the Midwest and into the Northeast by Thursday. This system could bring widespread 6+ inch snowfall totals, with higher amounts possible in areas that experience prolonged snow before transitioning to mixed precipitation. Ice accumulation concerns exist for portions of the interior Northeast, as a warm nose aloft could lead to sleet and freezing rain before the system exits.

Out west, the third major storm will slam into California on Thursday, bringing heavy rain and high-elevation snow, particularly in the Sierra Nevada. Flooding and mudslide risks are increasing for recent burn scar areas in Southern California as the system moves inland. The storm will also contribute to renewed cold and snowy conditions in the Rockies and Intermountain West heading into the weekend.

In the medium range (Friday-Monday), yet another winter storm will track from the Midwest through the Northeast over the weekend. This system has the potential for significant snowfall across the interior Northeast, with heavy rain to the south. Meanwhile, much of the country will be dealing with below-average temperatures, particularly across the central and eastern U.S., while the Southeast remains warm until early next week.

Northeast Weather Story – Tuesday, February 11, 2025

A busy and impactful winter weather pattern is setting up across New England and Upstate New York, bringing multiple rounds of snow, wintry mix, and potential travel hazards through the end of the week.

Today & Tonight: Brief Lake Effect & Coastal Snow Possible

A weak cold front will slide through New England today, accompanied by scattered snow showers and flurries across interior areas, mainly in northern New York and northern New England. Some brief snow squalls may develop during the afternoon, particularly from Upstate New York into Vermont and New Hampshire, potentially reducing visibility and making for hazardous travel.

Meanwhile, a coastal low developing off the Mid-Atlantic coast will stay well south of New England, but light snow could graze Cape Cod, the Islands, and far southern Rhode Island overnight into early Wednesday. Accumulations should remain minor, with a coating to 2 inches possible on the Islands and along the South Coast.

Wednesday Night – Thursday: Strong Winter Storm with Snow, Ice, & Rain

The next significant storm will begin impacting New England late Wednesday night into Thursday, bringing a wintry mix of snow, sleet, freezing rain, and eventually rain for much of the region.

  • Interior New England (Upstate NY, VT, NH, western MA, northern ME):

    • Accumulating snow will develop overnight and continue into Thursday morning. A thump of moderate to heavy snow is possible initially, with 3-6 inches likely in many areas before a transition to mixed precipitation.
    • Snow will likely change to sleet and freezing rain, particularly in the Berkshires, Monadnock region, and interior southern NH/VT, making for hazardous travel.
  • Coastal & Southern New England (Boston, Hartford, Providence, southern NH & ME coast):

    • The storm will likely start as snow late Wednesday night, but warmer air surging in aloft will force a transition to sleet and rain by Thursday morning.
    • Minor snow accumulations (1-3 inches) are possible before the changeover, with icy roads likely before surface temperatures rise.
    • Strong southeast winds (30-40 mph gusts) could cause coastal flooding concerns during high tide.

By Thursday afternoon, most of the region south of Route 2 in MA and NH will see plain rain, while northern Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine continue with a mix of snow, sleet, and freezing rain before tapering off in the evening.

Travel Impact:

  • Thursday morning commute looks to be the worst period, with a mix of snow and ice making for difficult road conditions, particularly north and west of I-495 in MA and in interior southern NH/VT.
  • Airports, including Boston Logan, Bradley (Hartford), and Manchester, could experience delays due to winter weather.
  • Marine concerns: Strong southeast winds and rough seas could make for dangerous conditions for mariners.

Friday: Brief Break Before Weekend Storm

A brief period of high pressure will provide a break in the active weather Friday into early Saturday. However, it will turn blustery and colder, with northwest winds gusting 30-40 mph across much of New England. Highs will be in the 20s and low 30s with lows dipping into the single digits and teens Friday night.

Weekend Storm: Potential for Significant Snow

Confidence is growing in a major weekend winter storm affecting New England Saturday afternoon through Sunday. The exact track remains uncertain, but the setup suggests:

  • Heavy snow possible across interior New England (VT, NH, western MA, interior ME)
  • Potential for rain or mixed precipitation closer to the coast (Boston, Providence, Portland)
  • Gusty winds and coastal flooding concerns along the New England coastline

This storm could bring over 6 inches of snow to parts of the interior Northeast, but details on track and precipitation type remain uncertain.

Bottom Line: A very active and impactful weather week ahead.

  • Today: Scattered snow showers & squalls possible.
  • Tonight: Light snow possible along the South Coast.
  • Wednesday Night – Thursday: Winter storm brings snow, ice, and rain. Hazardous travel Thursday AM.
  • Friday: Cold and breezy but quiet.
  • Saturday – Sunday: Another potential winter storm with significant snow risk.

Stay tuned for updated forecasts and advisories as confidence increases in the late-week and weekend storms.