From the epic overnight rain in Vermont to the likelihood of more storms ahead, continued humidity, and a tropical system that may develop as it nears the Eastern Seaboard, there’s a lot of meteorology to cover in today’s 1°Outside Insights! Matt Noyes explains the thought process behind the forecast, and includes a look at our 14-day dewpoint prediction, as well.
The rain has been epic across parts of the Northeast Kingdom of Vermont, with radar estimates and actual reports showing over 8 inches of rain just north of Saint Johnsbury. This resulted in multiple road and state highway washouts. Grafton County, New Hampshire, was also hit hard. While many of us didn’t see that much rain, those areas directly under the center of atmospheric energy coupled with mountainous terrain experienced significant downpours.
As we move forward, we have another storm center approaching. A warm front will bring a surge of humidity and warmth over the next couple of days. Today, there is a chance for severe storms across Northern New England, with isolated severe storms possibly producing damaging winds. The dew point is cranked up, making torrential rain a bigger concern as we head into Wednesday.
The high humidity and dew points will stick with us up to the upcoming weekend, impacting events like the Pan-Mass Challenge. Expect some variations and bigger swings in humidity as we move into next week.
There’s a 60% chance of development from the National Hurricane Center. The current disturbance is battling Saharan dust, which is dry air. As it moves away from the dust, it enters more favorable conditions for tropical development. By the weekend, we’ll need to keep an eye on its potential impact on the Eastern Seaboard. Here in New England, the setup suggests a lower likelihood of direct impact due to strong westerlies aloft by Monday, but the Bahamas to Florida to the Carolinas want to watch this one closely.
For the latest 14-day forecast for your location, download our Noyes’ 1DegreeOutside Weather app from the Apple App Store or Google Play. This has been a longer insights segment, but I hope you found it fascinating if you love the science of meteorology. Have a great rest of your day, and stay tuned for more updates on 1DegreeOutside.
