Wednesday Insights: The Upcoming Two Week Meteorological Story of Francine

Although the weather in New England is expected to remain quiet with the exception of some late Friday and a few Saturday showers in spots (Matt has details in this Insights video), the interesting meteorological story Matt dives into today is the upcoming 10-day saga of Francine. We’ll hear a lot about Francine’s immediate impacts from the Gulf Coast to inland flooding, but the energy and moisture continues to affect the weather for the next 10-14 days!

The big weather story right now? Hurricane Francine is heading toward the Gulf Coast with significant storm surge, rain and wind impacts expected there as we examined in yesterday’s Insights video, but here in the Northeast, a strong dome of high pressure is protecting us from all that moisture, keeping our weather dry and pleasant.

High pressure continues to dominate across the Northeast, holding off any significant rain, but we’ll see a reinforcing cold front from Canada move through on Friday, bringing with it a chance of a few showers from north to south, afternoon to evening in New England. This front will help maintain dry, comfortable air across the region, although some wildfire smoke may become noticeable Thursday and especially Friday due to the shifting wind aloft. Temperatures will be seasonably warm, with highs around 80 degrees for much of the area, but a bit cooler at the coast where the wind blows gently off the ocean.

Saturday and Sunday look fantastic overall, with plenty of sunshine and warm temperatures. There’s a slight chance of a pop-up shower in the mountains of northern New England on Saturday, but most of us will remain dry. Temperatures will range from the 70s to the low 80s, with a light onshore breeze cooling things down a bit near the coast.

Looking ahead, the interesting part of the meteorological story is how long pieces of atmospheric energy and moisture stick around in the Eastern United States from Francine!  As long as 10-14 days from now, we’ll likely still be monitoring some of that energy and moisture as a new ocean storm develops off the Carolina coast this weekend, then drifts north.  To be determined is just how much – if any – moisture makes it as showers to New England, but that’s the reason we’ve been saying there is a chance of showers somewhere around September 20-21.  This time of the year, any storm taking shape over the ocean, near the East Coast, certainly bears watching, but there are a lot of details to determine with this one, and many days to get there.  Be sure to download our Noyes’ 1DegreeOutside weather app for more detailed, localized forecasts and to track any changes!