Matt Noyes says the incoming southerly wind flow in the atmosphere will usher warmth, moisture and brush fire smoke into our sky in the days ahead…but it’s all ahead of a pattern change that puts New England right on the line of cooler Canadian air and persistent rain showers next week. Matt opines which way the atmosphere may tip, based on usual New England weather patterns.
Let’s break it down:
🔸 Warmth Builds
As the jet stream lifts north, southern air surges into New England. Highs in the 70s and 80s are expected Thursday and Friday.
🔸 Brush Fire & Smoke
Brush fires continue in the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic, and we’ve had a few here at home in New England too. Southerly winds will start transporting high-altitude smoke into our region late Thursday and into Friday – not likely noticeable at the surface, but potentially visible in the sky.
🔸 Storm Setup & Weekend Rain
Friday brings a two-part rain event:
Early showers with a warm front
Scattered thunderstorms in western New England by Friday evening
Saturday and Sunday? Here’s where things get tricky — and very New England.
A stalled front may linger overhead, helping focus waves of rain and possibly producing 2-4 inches of total rainfall by early next week. Sunday could improve if high pressure to our north wins out – but history says, don’t bet the farm on that.
🌀 “Classic Spring” Alert
With upper-level energy cutting off over the Northeast, this pattern resembles that familiar cool, gray, showery May vibe. The silver lining? These setups often pave the way for spectacular Junes.
🗓️ The Week at a Glance:
Thursday: Increasing clouds, 60s to 70s
Friday: AM showers, afternoon breaks, evening storms possible – 70s to near 80
Saturday: Rain likely, possibly heavy
Sunday: Potential improvement, but we’ll keep an eye on it
💬 “It’s the kind of week that screams May in New England — warmth one day, cool and wet the next, and always a battle between air masses overhead.”
– Matt Noyes, 1DegreeOutside
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