This is your November Monthly Forecast – a clean look at pattern drivers, temperature and precipitation tendencies, and what it means here at home.
Much of the deep cold stays bottled near the poles, but we get incursions – notably around the 10–11th – that send chill into the Eastern half of the U.S. The cold then eases, with additional quick-passing disturbances through mid-month. Later in November, warmth rebuilds across the central/southern U.S. while fresh cold dives into the Pacific Northwest, then lifts toward the Northern Plains and Eastern Canada. Pieces of that feed periodic cool shots into New England.
Jet stream character:
Early November is more zonal (west→east), favoring faster, weaker waves. By mid-to-late month we amplify into more ridges and troughs. The pattern stays progressive, so storms keep moving rather than parking.
La Niña backdrop:
This month mirrors a La Niña-leaning distribution: above-normal warmth favored across the southern half to two-thirds of the nation; cooler anomalies near the Pacific Northwest; near-normal from the Mid-Atlantic to New England, with far northern Maine tending slightly cooler.
New England temperature takeaways:
Overall: Near-normal for most of southern/central New England; slightly cooler far north.
Benchmarks: Boston’s Nov normals ~52°/38°. Expect cool shots that fall below average at times, then moderation – netting close to normal for many.
Early-month cold: A notable dip around the 10–11th, then a bounce back to near or slightly above normal. Some quick chilly shots possible late month.
Precipitation outlook:
Nationwide: Pacific Northwest lights up with much-above precipitation (atmospheric river feeds). Gulf Coast/TN Valley/SE and parts of the Mid-Atlantic lean below.
New England: November “normal” is ~3.77″. We trend near to slightly below overall for most, with far northern New England potentially near/locally above where the storm track brushes by and taps colder air at times.
Snow: More mountain flakes show up in northern New England, with better coverage north of the border and across the Intermountain West.
Track the daily moves in the free 1DegreeOutside app – your 14-day forecast and our 24/7 stream are a tap away. And if you love winter, our Enthusiast membership shifts into Snow Sports Discussion for November – perfect for skiers and riders.
