Sunday Midday Update: Snow Expanding Across New England

We’re in the opening act now, on pace for a long-duration storm with a violent ramp-up. Roads are already snowy—pavement temps are 10–15°F, so everything stuck immediately. Expect conditions to deteriorate fast through mid to late afternoon.

What’s unfolding

  • Peak rates: 2–4″/hr bursts ~2 PM–midnight, with thundersnow possible 4–10 PM.

  • Near-blizzard this evening along parts of the coast (best shot: Nantucket & Chatham; possible on the South Shore).

  • Coastal front sets up: just NW of it is the jackpot zone. Snow starts fluffy everywhere, then turns heavier/pastier near the coast this evening; mix on the Cape & Islands late evening before flipping back.

  • Overnight → Monday: Snow intensity steps down after midnight (0.5–1″/hr), then lighter / fits & starts Monday (about 0.25–0.33″/hr), with a few lulls. Back edge late day Monday; upslope keeps flakes going in parts of ME.

  • Power / coast: Isolated outages from snow load + wind; very minor coastal splash-over possible around early Monday AM high tide on the South Shore.

Totals & where to watch for enhancement

  • Widespread 12–18″ for many; 18–24″ common across favored belts.

  • High-end corridors:

    • Just NW of the coastal front: Norwell/Rockland → Weymouth → Quincy → Dedham (localized 2+ feet).

    • Frontal zone aloft: Dracut/Lowell → Lawrence → Haverhill → Rockingham County NH (another 2′ target).

    • Eastern slopes: Berkshires & southern Greens boosted by upslope.

  • Islands: Even with brief mixing, ~1′ is still on the table given the extreme rates.

  • North into ME: amounts trail off deeper into the far north, but still a region-wide snowstorm.

Why this storm is different

This is among the coldest storm starts in recent memory: Worcester at 2°F, Boston 8°F during snow onset. With air temps this low and pavement 10–15°F, treatment effectiveness is limited and roads go snow-covered almost instantly.

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